Cyclical

Two rules for investing/trading :

Rule number one : most things will prove to be cyclical

Rule number two : some of the greatest opportunities for gain and loss come when other people forget rule number one

------Howard Marks

True

Panics do not destroy capital—they merely reveal the extent to which it has previously been

destroyed by its betrayal in hopelessly unproductive works.-----Michael W. Covel

Basic

If you must play, decide upon three things at the start: the rules of the game,

the stakes, and quitting time------Michael W. Covel

Flow

Do not strive for things occurring to occur as you wish, but wish the things occurring as they occur,

and you will flow well.----Michael W. Covel

True Winner

If you want to end up with a nonaverage net worth, a “learn from someone else” attitude is paramount. Putting your ego aside and admitting that you don’t know it all isn’t easy, but it is the mindset of true winner ----Paul Tudor

Jones.

Probability

When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like right and wrong or win or lose no longer have the same significance.---- Michael W. Covel

Knowing

Knowing others is wisdom ; Knowing self is enlightenment ; Mastering others requires force ; Mastering self needs strength ---- Michael W. Covel

Crisis

“The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.”
Rudiger Dornbusch

Risk And Bubble

"The reality of risk is much less simple and straightforward than the perception. People vastly overestimate their ability to recognize risk and underestimate what it takes to avoid it; thus, they accept risk unknowingly and in so doing contribute to its creation.

"Risk arises as investor behavior alters the market. Investors bid up assets, accelerating into the present appreciation that otherwise would have occurred in the future, and thus lowering prospective returns. And as their psychology strengthens and they become bolder and less worried, investors cease to demand adequate risk premiums. The ultimate irony lies in the fact that the reward for taking incremental risk shrinks as more people move to take it.

"People often say, 'It's not cheap, but I think it'll keep going up because of excess liquidity (or any number of other reasons). In other words, they say, 'It's fully priced, but I think it'll become more so.' Buying or holding on that basis is extremely chancy, but that's what makes bubbles. In bubbles, infatuation with market momentum takes over from any notion of value and fair price, and greed (plus the pain of standing by as others make seemingly easy money) neutralizes any prudence that might otherwise hold sway."

Howard Marks

Paul Tudor Jones Quotes

I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms." ...

"I'm always thinking about losing money as opposed to making money. Don't focus on making money, focus on protecting what you have" ..

The secret to being successful from a trading perspective is to have an indefatigable and an undying and unquenchable thirst for information and knowledge.

Ninety-percent of any great trader is going to be the risk control.

When trading macro, you never have a complete information set or information edge the way analysts can have when trading individual securities. It's a hell of a lot easier to get an information edge on one stock than it is on the S&P 500. When it comes to trading macro, you cannot rely solely on fundamentals; you have to be a tape reader, which is something of a lost art form.

These days, there are many more deep intellectuals in the business, and that, coupled with the explosion of information on the Internet, creates the illusion that there is an explanation for everything and that the primary task is simply to find that explanation. As a result, technical analysis is at the bottom of the study list for many of the younger generation, particularly since the skill often requires them to close their eyes and trust the price action. The pain of gain is just too overwhelming for all of us to bear!

Experience

Speculators often prosper through ignorance; it is a cliché that in a roaring bull market knowledge is superfluous and experience is a handicap. But the typical experience of the speculator is one of temporary profit and ultimate loss.---Benjamin Graham

Success

“I’ve missed more than 9,000 shots in my career. I’ve lost almost 300 games. 26 times, I’ve been trusted to take the game-winning shot and missed. I’ve failed over and over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed.”
—Michael Jordan, 5-Time NBA Most Valuable Player,6-Time NBA Champion

Prepared mind

In the fields of observation, chance favors only the prepared mind.
—Louis Pasteur, Famous Chemist and Microbiologist

One more round

“Fight one more round. When your feet are so tired that you have to shuffle back
to the center of the ring, fight one more round. When your arms are so tired that
you can hardly lift your hands to come on guard, fight one more round. When
your nose is bleeding and your eyes are black and you are so tired that you wish
your opponent would crack you one on the jaw and put you to sleep, fight one
more round—remembering that the man who always fights one more round is never
whipped.”
—James J. “Gentleman Jim” Corbett, Heavyweight Boxing Champ